On Thinking

A discourse on models and tools for clearer thinking.

Concepts

Pt.1 Structure

• Puzzles
• Defining the Problem
• Atomicity and Composition

Pt.2 Models

• Linear, quadratic and geometric; Proportional and Inverse
• Systems; Input, State and Output
• ROI

Pt.3 Errors

• Alpha and Beta errors
• Causality, implication and confounding
• Testable Hypothesis
• Selection
  • Survivor (Apple, Google, Facebook)
  • Confounding

Puzzles

1. Domain space is much larger than solution space
2. Rating a solution is quick and easy

Look at jigsaw puzzle and algebra problems

Atomicity and Composition

Breaking down problems into their component pieces, building useful composites and solving those. It's often easier to solve 3 small puzzles than one large one.