The Signal and The Noise: Difference between revisions

From Adam Colton
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;Out of Sample
;Out of Sample
:When the conclusions you're drawing from data are inaccurate because the samples do not accurately represent the context in which you are predicting.
:When the conclusions you're drawing from data are inaccurate because the samples do not accurately represent the context in which you are predicting.
;Accurate and Precise
:Accuracy is how far the mean of your prediction is from reality
:Precision is the standard deviation of your predicitons


[[Category:Notes]]
[[Category:Notes]]

Revision as of 20:50, 15 April 2013

Introduction

Prior to the printing press, a book cost about 1 florin (gold coin ~$200) per 5 pages. The printing press instantly brought the price down to around $0.70 / 5 pages. He ties the rise in Renaissance warfare to the printing press and printing of religious books, I'm not sure I agree with that.

Out of Sample
When the conclusions you're drawing from data are inaccurate because the samples do not accurately represent the context in which you are predicting.
Accurate and Precise
Accuracy is how far the mean of your prediction is from reality
Precision is the standard deviation of your predicitons